2024/5/29 投資ネタ
UG
#NCLH upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist
-予約とプライシングが好調なまま
#BRK .B upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus at 450
-バリュエーション
#UAL upgraded to Buy at Jefferies on free cash flow generation at 65
-国内線への投資が結実
-国際線のマージンはさらに良い
-5bln FCFを2026に達成見込
DG
#AAL Jefferies downgrades to Hold from Buy with strategy needing time at 12
-長期戦略の実行には時間を要する
-メインの短距離路線で輸送キャパにかけ収入力がない
#AAL cut at Seaport on escalating ultra-low cost carrier competition
-メイン路線でLCCが台頭し、競争激化
#FSLR downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank
#GWW downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird at 975
-バリュエーション
-成長期待を下方修正
earnings
#AAP Lifts Revenue Outlook
-(ビート)FY24売上・EPSガイダンス
-(ミス)Q1売上・EPS・SSS(-0.2%)
-マージン悪化(コスト増 vs 値上げ/輸送費減)
#DKS
-(ビート)Q1売上・EPS/FY24 EPSガイダンス
-(インライン)FY24売上ガイダンス
-SSS +5.3%/FY24 SSSガイダンス引上げ
-EBITマージン 11.3%
-客足/客単価共に増加
-所得層によって消費行動に変化無/トレードダウンも無
#ANF
-(ビート)Q1売上・EPS
-FY24売上ガイダンス引上(4-6% to 10%)
-A&F+31%/Hollister+12%
-SSS +21%
-営業マージン 12.7%/FY24ガイダンス 14%
(粗利益率の改善とコストカット)
#CRM Tumbles as Sales and Bookings Disappoint
-(ビート)1QEPS/FY25EPS
-(ミス)1Q売上/2Q売上・EPS/FY25売上
-cRPOも10% vs 12%e
-4Qに改善したモメンタムは1Qに再度失速
--顧客の予算厳格化
#AI rides ‘intensifying’ wave of AI demand as revenue jumps 20%
-4Q売上・EPS/FY25売上・EPS
-AI製品の需要が強い
#OKTA lifts its earnings outlook while taking ‘prudent’ view of customers’ budgets
-(ビート)Q1売上・EPS/Q2売上・EPS/FY25EPS
-(ミス)FY25売上(*上方修正)
-SMBは予算管理厳格化継続
-これに対応してセールス予算をカット
#HPQ Sees an Uptick in Corporate PC Sales. AI’s Big Impact Will Come Next Year, CEO Says.
-(ビート)2Q売上・EPS
-(ミス)3QEPS/FY24EPS
-マージン改善
-企業向けPCはYoY+も個人向けPCとプリンター関連がYoY-
-2HからAI PCが10%を占め、2025以降加速
-プリンターも2Hには安定する見込
#AEO Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 Earnings, Stock Drops
-(ビート)1QEPS
-(ミス)1Q売上
個別株
#AAPL | Bank of America Reiterates Apple as a Top Pick and Maintains Buy Rating with a PT of $230
-AI携帯による買替需要惹起
#MSFT | PWC TO BECOME OPENAI'S LARGEST CHATGPT ENTERPRISE CUSTOMER
#MRK will acquire ophthalmology biotech startup EyeBio for up to $3 billion.
#NVDA sees jump to FOPLP for AI server chips, DigiTimes reports
#COP #MRO CONOCOPHILLIPS IN ADVANCED TALKS TO ACQUIRE MARATHON OIL
#DELL price target raised to $180 from $130 at BofA
-AI関連の製品によりFY25の売上成長をサポート
-IBM mainframeの刷新やAI PCへの買替サイクルも追い風
#CRWD price target raised to $400 from $371 at JPMorgan
-シェア拡大
-マージンとCFが過小評価されており、高いバリュエーションを正当化可能
#ZS price target lowered to $192 from $255 at BMO Capital
-SASEで競争激化
#AAL price target lowered by several firms
-国内線の競争激化/出張シェアの喪失
#FSLR price target raised to $350 from $270 at UBS
-企業の100%クリエネ目標による需要が
-輸入関税引上げでプライシング向上
#CAVA price target raised by several firms
-長期的に客足増加、売上、客単価増が期待できる
-SSS/EBITDAの見通しもコンサバ
マクロ・債券
(米国)
DIMON SAYS CHANCE OF STAGFLATION IS HIGHER THAN MOST PEOPLE THINK
RICHMOND FED COMP. INDEX ACTUAL 0 (FORECAST -6, PREVIOUS -7) $MACRO
US 7-YEAR NOTE AUCTION
HIGH YIELD 4.650% VS 4.637% PRE-SALE WI
FED BEIGE BOOK: NATIONAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY CONTINUED TO EXPAND FROM EARLY APRIL TO MID-MAY. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS VARIED ACROSS INDUSTRIES AND DISTRICTS.
FED BEIGE BOOK: PRICES INCREASED AT A MODEST PACE OVER THE REPORTING PERIOD.
$MA CFO today: "Fast forward to where we are through the 3rd week of May, we're still seeing fairly stable trends from a consumer spending standpoint. So all in all, we're continuing to see the consumer be healthy"
(欧州)
June ECB rate cut a done deal, majority expects cuts in Sept, Dec too: Reuters
German workers see record rise in real wages in Q1 - Reuters poll
*GERMANY PRELIM MAY HARMONIZED CPI RISES 2.8% Y/Y; EST. +2.7%
(その他)
Australia’s inflation came in faster than expected in April
コモ
US API CRUDE OIL STOCK CHANGE ACTUAL -6.49M (FORECAST -1.9M, PREVIOUS 2.48M) $MACRO