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2023 Aug 9, Market Wrapup

株式岸部

US Market
23/08/09 20:00 米国 MBA住宅ローン申請指数 (前週比) 8月4日 ★★★ -3.1 ％ -3.0 ％
23/08/09 21:30 カナダ 住宅建設許可 (前月比) 6月 ★★ -3.5 ％ +6.1 ％ +10.5 ％
23/08/09 23:30 米国 EIA原油在庫 (前週比) 8月4日 ★ +1,886 kbbl +5,851 kbbl -17,049 kbbl

02:00US 10-Year Note Auction 3.999%-3.857%
02:00US 10-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.560-2.530


  1. HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS

    1. AppLovin (APP) up 23.6%

    2. Alarm.com (ALRM) up 13.8%

    3. Sonos (SONO) up 10.3%

    4. Alpha and Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) up 4.9%

    5. CS Disco (LAW) up 2.9%

    6. Disney (DIS) up 2.8%

    7. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) up 2.4%

  2. ALSO HIGHER

    1. Leslie's (LESL) up 4.7% after insider buying

  3. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS

    1. Origin Materials (ORGN) down 51.0%

    2. a.k.a. Brands Holding (AKA) down 31.3%

    3. Magnite (MGNI) down 15.2%

    4. Plug Power (PLUG) down 5.9%

    5. TaskUs (TASK) down 5.8%

    6. Illumina (ILMN) down 5.6%

    7. Westrock Coffee (WEST) down 5.5%

    8. American Superconductor (AMSC) down 5.4%

    9. PAR Technology (PAR) down 5.4%

    10. Trade Desk (TTD) down 4.0%

    11. PLBY Group (PLBY) down 3.6%

    12. OneSpan (OSPN) down 2.5%

  4. ALSO LOWER

    1. Enovix (ENVX) down 4.5% after equity offering


  1. A drop in big tech and higher energy prices weighed on Wall Street sentiment ahead of inflation data that will help shape the Fed's next moves.

    1. The S&P 500 finished near session lows after briefly erasing its losses. The Nasdaq 100 fell 1%. Nvidia, which has more than tripled this year in the midst of the artificial intelligence frenzy, fell nearly 5%. Tesla, Apple, and Amazon were all offline. Concerns about further price pressures were heightened by a 28% increase in European natural gas and an increase in oil to a nine-month high.

    2. In the meantime, bond investors wanted the new Treasury 10-year notes so badly that they were willing to accept a yield of less than 4%.

    3. The $38 billion auction was awarded at 3.999%, making it the third 10-year new issue to pay a fixed rate of less than 4% in a row. Since the auction details were announced on August 2, its larger-than-expected size has pushed the yield on the new 10-year note in pre-sale trading up to 4.19% on Friday. Investors eventually decided they could live on less.

  2. Top 5 Upgrades:

    1. JPMorgan upgraded DraftKings (DKNG) to Neutral, maintaining a price target of $26. Negative reaction to Penn Entertainment's deal with ESPN is a concern.

    2. Jefferies upgraded Eli Lilly (LLY) to Buy with a target of $615, citing positive GLP-1 data points and strong Mounjaro sales.

    3. Barclays upgraded Dish (DISH) to Overweight, setting a target of $10. Echostar and T-Mobile deals are seen as catalysts.

    4. Roth MKM upgraded LivePerson (LPSN) to Buy at a $6 target. Strong Q2 EBITDA due to cost cuts is noted.

    5. Wells Fargo upgraded Chart Industries (GTLS) to Overweight with a target of $224. Company's position in Energy Transition is emphasized.

  3. Top 5 Downgrades:

    1. Loop Capital downgraded UPS (UPS) to Hold with a target of $195, citing modest Q2 earnings beat and contract issues.

    2. UBS also downgraded UPS to Neutral with a target of $185.

    3. Daiwa downgraded Qualcomm (QCOM) to Outperform with an unchanged target of $125 after Q2 results.

    4. Guggenheim downgraded Doximity (DOCS) to Neutral due to disappointing guidance.

    5. Needham also downgraded Doximity to Hold on mixed Q1 results.

  4. Top 5 Initiations:

    1. Ladenburg initiated coverage of Southern Company (SO) with a Buy rating and $72 target, based on Vogtle plant completion.

    2. H.C. Wainwright initiated coverage of Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) with a Buy rating and $28 target, citing potential of vonoprazan.

    3. Stifel initiated coverage of Rapt Therapeutics (RAPT) with a Buy rating and $40 target, based on AD market potential.

    4. Piper Sandler assumed coverage of Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX) with an Overweight rating and $45 target, highlighting Krazati.

    5. Maxim initiated coverage of Aytu BioPharma (AYTU) with a Buy rating and $5 target, noting growth in ADHD treatments.

  5. Stock News

    1. Penn Entertainment (PENN) formed a strategic alliance with ESPN (DIS) to establish ESPN Bet.

    2. Rivian Automotive (RIVN) surpassed Q2 earnings and revenue expectations.

    3. Lyft (LYFT) reported Q2 earnings below expectations, but saw an 8.2% increase in active riders for the quarter.

    4. Regeneron (REGN) announced plans to acquire Decibel Therapeutics (DBTX) for $4 per share along with a CVR.

    5. Take-Two (TTWO) reported lower-than-expected Q1 results but reaffirmed its FY23 net bookings guidance.

    6. AstraZeneca (AZN) signed a vaccine deal with China's CanSino Biologics (CASBF).

    7. Amazon (AMZN) is in talks to become a cornerstone investor in SoftBank's (SFTBY) Arm ahead of its IPO.

    8. DuPont (DD), Corteva (CTVA), and Chemours (CC) revised terms of a settlement to address PFAS-contaminated drinking water.

    9. McDonald's (MCD) is planning to issue new bonds prior to upcoming maturities.

    10. The U.S. Supreme Court allowed Apple (AAPL) to maintain its App Store rules temporarily.

  6. Movers:

    1. Array Technologies (ARRY) and Azenta (AZTA) saw gains after reporting quarterly results.

    2. Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX) rose after reporting results, and Piper Sandler initiated coverage with an Overweight rating.

    3. Toast (TOST) increased in value after reporting Q2 results and raising its FY23 revenue outlook.

    4. Nuvei (NVEI) fell after reporting quarterly results and providing guidance for Q3 and FY23.

    5. 8x8 (EGHT) and Upstart (UPST) declined following their quarterly reports.

  7. Earnings/Guidance:

    1. PubMatic (PUBM) reported Q2 results with concerns about future headwinds and a challenging H2 2023 outlook.

    2. Doximity (DOCS) reported Q1 results, gave guidance for Q3 and FY24, and announced a 10% workforce reduction.

    3. Wendy's (WEN) reported Q2 results and provided guidance for FY23.

    4. Coupang (CPNG) released Q3 results, and Deutsche Bank downgraded the stock to Hold.

    5. Roblox (RBLX) reported Q2 results, with both EPS and revenue falling short of consensus.

Europe & Asia

23/08/09 00:00 シンガポール [休日]独立記念日
23/08/09 10:30 中国 消費者物価指数 (前年比) 7月 ★★★ -0.4 ％ -0.3 ％ 0.0 ％
23/08/09 10:30 中国 生産者物価指数 (前年比) 7月 ★★★ -4.0 ％ -4.4 ％ -5.4 ％
23/08/09 17:00 台湾 卸売物価指数 (前年比) 7月 ★ -3.19 ％ -4.84 ％(-4.82 ％)
23/08/09 17:00 台湾 消費者物価指数 (前年比) 7月 ★★ +1.90 ％ +1.88 ％ +1.75 ％


  1. 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔 𝗙𝗢𝗥𝗘𝗜𝗚𝗡 𝗠𝗜𝗡𝗜𝗦𝗧𝗥𝗬: 𝗦𝗢𝗟𝗘𝗠𝗡𝗟𝗬 𝗨𝗥𝗚𝗘𝗦 𝗝𝗔𝗣𝗔𝗡 𝗧𝗢 𝗔𝗕𝗜𝗗𝗘 𝗕𝗬 𝗢𝗡𝗘-𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗔 𝗣𝗥𝗜𝗡𝗖𝗜𝗣𝗟𝗘

    1. **"REFRAIN FROM SUPPORTING PRO-INDEPENDENT TAIWAN FORCES IN ANY WAY"

  2. 𝗜𝗥𝗔𝗡 𝗦𝗔𝗬𝗦 𝗜𝗧 𝗢𝗕𝗧𝗔𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗗 𝗦𝗨𝗣𝗘𝗥𝗦𝗢𝗡𝗜𝗖 𝗖𝗥𝗨𝗜𝗦𝗘 𝗠𝗜𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗟𝗘 𝗧𝗘𝗖𝗛𝗡𝗢𝗟𝗢𝗚𝗬- 𝗧𝗔𝗦𝗡𝗜𝗠

  3. 𝗚𝗢𝗟𝗗𝗠𝗔𝗡 𝗦𝗔𝗖𝗛𝗦 𝗢𝗡 𝗖𝗛𝗜𝗡𝗘𝗦𝗘 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗗𝗘

    1. Year-over-year trade growth surprised to the downside in July

    2. China’s trade surplus rose in July

    3. Exports were weak across the board in July except for cellphones and motor vehicles

    4. Commodity imports declined sharply while imports of motor vehicles and medical instruments rose

  4. The city of Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and HongKong are planning a high-speed maglev train route with designed speed of 650 km per hour, said Chen Xiang Sheng, an academician of CAE. The plan aims to build a 30-min traffic circle among the three cities

  5. Taiwan pitches deeper Europe engagement after TSMC Germany investment

    1. Taiwan chipmaker TSMC's 3.5 billion euros ($3.83 billion) investment in Germany will drive deeper engagement between the island and Europe, Taiwan's economy minister said on Wednesday, pitching the political benefits of the deal.

    2. "TSMC's investment in Europe will help bring even closer cooperation between Taiwan and the EU," Taiwan Economy Minister Wang Mei-hua told reporters in Taipei, when asked if signing the BIA would get more Taiwanese chipmakers to the bloc.

  6. U.S.-based Viking Global Investors has reopened its flagship long/short hedge fund for new capital after being closed for more than a decade, according to three people familiar with the matter, as industry-wide equity hedge fund returns strengthen.

    1. In 2011, Viking decided to close its long/short hedge fund to new investors because it was becoming too big to explore profitable trading opportunities, according to news reports at the time.

  7. Currently, the chokepoint for LI Auto is in the supply chain of parts. Currently, the parts production line is still in the process of optimization and verification, which will take some time, but will see new capacity growth soon, says Ma Donghui, the president of LI.

  8. MERCEDES BENZ GROUP AG MBG: CITIGROUP CUTS TO NEUTRAL FROM BUY

  9. CHINA'S MAJOR STATE-OWNED BANKS SEEN SELLING DOLLARS TO BUY YUAN IN ONSHORE SPOT FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

    1. China’s major state-owned banks were seen selling U.S. dollars to buy yuan in onshore spot foreign exchange market on Wednesday, three people with direct knowledge of the matter said, moves that would slow the pace of yuan declines.

  10. Continental Q2 Sales EU10.43B, Est. EU10.38B

    1. - Q2 Automotive Rev. EU5.1B, Est. EU4.66B

    2. - Q2 Adj EBIT Margin 4.8%, EST. 5.54%

    3. - Q2 Adj. EBIT EU497.2M, EST. EU581.3M

    4. - Sees FY Sales €41.5b To €44.5b, Saw €42b To €45b

  11. Panasonic has filed 7 infringement claims at the UPC against various subsidiaries of Oppo and Xiaomi. Panasonic has accused Oppo and its subsidiaries of infringing 4 patents. Xiaomi and its subsidiaries are facing 3 claims.

  12. S&P Global, one of the largest independent credit rating firms in the world, has dropped ESG scores from its debt ratings, after we exposed ESG for what it truly is: a scam used to force a political ideology onto the people.

  13. China's CPI growth turned negative for first time in 29 months in Jul, PPI declines for 10th straight month

    1. China enters deflation, as June's annual inflation rate falls to -0.3%

    2. These numbers will deepen worries about both China’s growth prospects and the effectiveness of traditional stimulus measures.

  14. General Motors $GM m announced that all of its EVs will be able to charge your home by model year 2026 - The Verge


日本

23/08/09 08:50 日本 マネーストックM2 (前年比) 7月 ★★ +2.4 ％ +2.6 ％ 
23/08/09 08:50 日本 マネーストックM3 (前年比) 7月 ★★ +1.9 ％ +2.1 ％(+2.0 ％)
23/08/09 15:00 日本 工作機械受注 <速報> (前年比) 7月 ★★ -19.8 ％ -21.1 ％

9日の東京株式市場の概要：

9日の東京株式市場は、前日の欧米株式市場の下落を受けて、リスク回避の売りが優勢となりました。日経平均株価は、3万2000円台前半で軟調な展開となりました。

大引けの日経平均株価は、前の取引日に比べて172.96円（0.49%）下落し、3万2204.33円となりました。プライム市場での売買高は約15億9355万株、売買代金は約3兆8471億円でした。値上がり銘柄数は763、値下がり銘柄数は1004、変わらずの銘柄数は68でした。

東京市場は、オプションSQ算出日を前にして様子見の姿勢が強まりました。前日の欧州および米国株市場での下落が市場のセンチメントを冷やし、個別の企業決算発表により日経平均株価に影響が出ました。ただし、半導体関連などの押し目買いが強く、日経平均は朝安後に下落が鈍化し、前場は小幅な上昇となりました。

米国株式市場の動向：

8日の米国株式市場では、ダウ平均が158.64ドル（0.44%）下落し、ナスダック総合指数も0.78%下落しました。中国の7月の貿易収支が予想を下回り、世界経済の減速への懸念が売りにつながりました。また、格付け会社ムーディーズ・インベスターズ・サービスが主要銀行と中小銀行の格付け見直しを発表したことも市場に重しとなりました。

しかし、金利の低下に伴い、押し目買いが入り、取引の終盤には下げ幅が縮小しました。

東京市場の展望：

日本の株式市場は、先週の国内長期金利の上昇が一服し、オプションSQ算出日を控えていることなどを受け、様子見の姿勢が強まりました。米国株式市場が先行して下落し、ドル円レートが安定していることも影響し、市場は比較的安定した展開となりました。

ただし、8月は海外投資家の夏休み入りや季節的な要因から、株式市場が下落しやすい傾向があります。大型株などの一部の銘柄は上値が重い状況が続く可能性がありますが、中小型株やインバウンド関連などには投資機会があるかもしれません。

<1911> 住友林業は、前日に上半期決算を発表し、経常利益は前年同期比28.0%減の674億円となりました。しかし、通期予想を大幅に上方修正し、従来の1200億円から1500億円に引き上げました。米国住宅市場の回復が進み、米国戸建ての受注が拡大しており、国内住宅建築でも利益計画が引き上げられる見込みです。

<6544> JESHDは、前日に第1四半期決算を発表し、営業利益は前年同期比35.7%増の13.1億円となりました。通期計画も上方修正され、従来の57億円から66億円に変更されました。リニューアル売上の好調や販管費率の低下が営業利益率の改善に寄与しています。

<6383> ダイフクは、前日に第1四半期決算を発表し、営業利益は前年同期比20.0%減の82.2億円となりました。上半期計画も下方修正され、従来の230億円から215億円に変更されました。一部案件の進捗遅れや顧客からの後倒し依頼が影響しています。

<6869> シスメックスは、前日に第1四半期決算を発表し、営業利益は前年同期比20.1%増の133億円となりましたが、市場予想を下回っています。中国販売の回復が鈍く、販管費の増加が影響しています。通期計画は据え置かれましたが、進捗率が低く、不透明感が強まっています。

<7731> ニコンは、前日に第1四半期決算を発表し、営業利益は前年同期比78.6%減の33億円となり、市場予想を下回りました。上半期計画も下方修正され、従来の200億円から150億円に変更されました。半導体露光装置やコンポーネントの先行きに不透明感が広がっています。

<8848> レオパレス21は、前日に第1四半期決算を発表し、営業利益は前年同期比2.1倍の76億円となりました。通期計画も上振れており、業績の上振れが期待される状況です。


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