インターネット調査室：　「Is this the end for Putin? His country now stands on the edge of civil war」

今回は「Is this the end for Putin? His country now stands on the edge of civil war」についてコメントさせていただきます。

Independent: 25 Jun,2023

「Is this the end for Putin? His country now stands on the edge of civil war」:  どうでしょね～？

Russia appears to be on the precipice of civil war. Artillery and airstrikes rain down on the country’s own forces, and the fighters of Yevgeny Prigozhin appear to be marching on Moscow.

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Although the immediate sense of danger for the Vladimir Putin regime eased as the Wagner Group leader halted his advance on Saturday night.

そうなんです。　プゴジンさんは、モスクワへ行くのを辞めたんです。

Vladimir Putin gave an emergency televised address…The president spoke of the bitter strife following the revolution in 1917, when “Russians were killing Russians”, and warned that his country was “facing the toughest battle for its future, it is a question of Russia’s millennial history”.

これを避けるためワーグナーがモスクワへ行くのを辞めたことになっています。

A “counter-terrorism regime” was reported to have been enforced in Moscow and surrounding districts with units of Spetsnaz, special forces, FSB’s Alpha Force, the National Guard and Rosgvardiya (a force Prigozhin has appealed to join him) sent to protect the routes to Moscow.

これを見たら、勝てないと悟ったのでは？

Wagner’s offices in St Petersburg, as well as Prigozhin-linked properties, were raided by Russian police. 

当然。

there could, say security officials, be details of the company’s highly lucrative business ventures, including billions of dollars in gold and other mining operations in Africa.

ここまでやられるとlucrative businessかどうかは不明です。

As of now, the chances of a Russian victory seem to be remote.

国内も酷いですが、ウクライナも酷いということですね～。

Mikhail Khodorkovsky, an anti-Kremlin figure and former oil tycoon, urged Russians to support the Wagner Group, “We need to help now; and then, if necessary, we will fight this one, too,”

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He added that it was important to back “even the devil” if he decided to take on the Kremlin. “And yes, this is just the beginning.”

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Russian exiled militia, supported by Ukrainian forces

裏切り者だらけ？

本当にひどい状況。

More than 80 per cent of Wagner’s fighters in Ukraine, it is estimated, are convicts who have been recruited in a prison amnesty and it is unclear whether they would indeed be prepared to sacrifice themselves in a war in which the odds 

？！

Prigozhin is now in the centre of the arena. What he does, and what happens to him, will play an important role in not just the Ukraine war, but whether there really is a civil war in Russia.

ここまで来ると、もうなにが起こっても驚きません。

ロシアですから。

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