Analytics: 資料集 W13-15 2022-23
NFL 22-23 W13-1
Net penalty impact in terms of Expected Points Added so far this season pic.twitter.com/pDCIiXhYAA
— Anthony Reinhard (@reinhardNFL) December 1, 2022
Weekly update of the moving the chains chart. Chiefs and Bills are still a good chunk ahead of the league through two and three downs.
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) November 29, 2022
The Dolphins are very efficient on 1st down, as opposed to the Bengals.
Titans are 7-4, but can't move the sticks on offense. pic.twitter.com/gpM1OGpo7V
Defensive side of the ball pic.twitter.com/mbGZoI7Fjx
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) November 30, 2022
going to be very interesting today to see if tua's performance under pressure stays stable against a 49ers defensive line that'll put pressure on him frequently
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) December 4, 2022
full analysis: https://t.co/rdMJtepGN3 pic.twitter.com/eEkiDV02fD
Terry McLaurin has had amazing underlying usage metrics since Taylor Heinicke took over under center, but the team hasn't thrown enough for them to carry weight... pic.twitter.com/y1kODVpiCr
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) November 28, 2022
Rate at which teams turn a 1st & 10 into a new first down.
— Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) December 6, 2022
They've had injuries, but the Chargers' offense has been one of the biggest disappointments of the season.
And look at the Lions! pic.twitter.com/i5FgzFOF6K
Nate's point visualized here, Josh Jacobs is having a terrific season. But I think part of that is being able to run without an extra safety in the box because of Davante Adams. Also kind of surprised teams aren't running 2-high more often vs the Cowboys https://t.co/Vib74cTy26 pic.twitter.com/PyU1vEObJy
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 7, 2022
Official pass protection rankings using a set of carefully chosen (completely arbitrary) weights pic.twitter.com/NJqatSwKLN
— Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) December 6, 2022
Team offensive efficiency percentiles for running and passing.
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) November 29, 2022
- Great offenses (other than the Eagles) don't have to run well
- Brown, Raiders and Lions performing better than record
- Triumvirate of sadness: Colts, Broncos and Rams pic.twitter.com/u7sKnJfRgu
pass rush/pass protection metrics averaged on the team level. pic.twitter.com/YsfcS9Vn9Z
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) December 7, 2022
NFL 22-23 W13-2
Weekly update of interior linemen in pass protection pic.twitter.com/uDxDFAmTnk
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) December 7, 2022
Updated Week 13 Wide Receiver Tiers Chart
— NFL Prospect Clips (@NflProspectClip) December 6, 2022
- PFF Receiving Grade vs ESPN Receiver Tracking Metrics Overall Score pic.twitter.com/q9JE8YVaZj
Another day, another chart concept from @statsowar adopted for the NFL. This time, comparing scheme and OL (yards before contact) to RB ability (yards after contact), by team.
— Sam Hoppen (@SamHoppen) December 8, 2022
Josh Jacobs truly having a great season behind a less-than-stellar offensive line. pic.twitter.com/orw2gWK4vW
This is more because the Raiders use him as a deep threat then it just being Adams. Because this didn’t happen to the Packers when he was running slants and choice routes. https://t.co/AGe4AZhs0k
— Marcus Johnson (@TheMarcJohnNFL) December 8, 2022
The gravity of Davante Adams:
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) December 7, 2022
No offense has faced more snaps of Cover 2/Cover 6 on 1st/2nd down this season than the Raiders - 195 plays compared to the league average of 122.
Raiders rank 4th in rush success rate, 4th in EPA/rush and 3rd in explosive run rate on those plays.
Blitz updates: Offensive performance against the blitz when you're likely to run vs when you're likely to pass. San Fran is killing it. We'll see if they maintain their top spot without Jimmy G. Lions have been blitzed 160 times!! Miami only 82. #nflverse #rstats pic.twitter.com/5eQlyY04wZ
— Joseph Hefner (@josephjefe) December 8, 2022
How predictable NFL defensive coverage schemes are (using shannon entropy), and how that translates to their defensive efficiency. No team has mixed up their coverages more than the Chiefs this year (interesting given the experience of their CBs) pic.twitter.com/eTz4wnFx3e
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 8, 2022
Most explosive plays during the 2022 season by team: pic.twitter.com/GhBnqMoFoy
— Marcus Mosher (@Marcus_Mosher) December 8, 2022
Passing yards by targeted route via PFF/TruMedia pic.twitter.com/6AHk2hPXp4
— Austin Gayle (@austingayle_) December 3, 2022
Receiving yards by route via PFF/TruMedia pic.twitter.com/wZ1AiGX9og
— Austin Gayle (@austingayle_) December 3, 2022
NFL 22-23 W14-15
4 best QBs passing the ball on early downs this week:
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) December 12, 2022
Jared Goff
Brock Purdy
Trevor Lawrence
Davis Mills
... exactly as expected pic.twitter.com/d7ubvZorfw
The Eagles change their game plan to opponent more than just about anyone. Titans are notorious pass funnel (DL > DBs), so the Eagles led Week 13 in neutral pass rate, all the way up to 79%. pic.twitter.com/nOnmGjoHaI
— Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) December 5, 2022
How predictable NFL defensive coverage schemes are (using shannon entropy), and how that translates to their defensive efficiency. No team has mixed up their coverages more than the Chiefs this year (interesting given the experience of their CBs) pic.twitter.com/eTz4wnFx3e
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 8, 2022
QB efficiency on perfectly covered plays vs non-perfectly covered plays by the defense this season. While he is still averaging a negative EPA/play, MVPat has been the best QB vs perfect coverage this year (screen passes filtered out for all QBs to be clear) pic.twitter.com/CSkciSgn7f
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) January 5, 2023
NFL QBs Ranked By Average Efficiency pic.twitter.com/01bcDkCMCM
— Blaiden Kirk (@blaiden) December 16, 2022
How each QB has performed vs every major coverage so far this season per EPA/play. Red = below avg & Blue = above avg pic.twitter.com/wnCeLHFDU5
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 19, 2022
Total dropback EPA by coverage ID (via TruMedia/PFF) pic.twitter.com/WRiVFbcfrG
— Austin Gayle (@austingayle_) December 15, 2022
Total dropback EPA by target depth, scrambles and sacks (via TruMedia) pic.twitter.com/nQpUNupdNJ
— Austin Gayle (@austingayle_) December 14, 2022
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) December 21, 2022
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are playing a different game. pic.twitter.com/6Pa8nqy5MF
— Austin Gayle (@austingayle_) December 20, 2022
NFL QB 22-1
How often and how well teams passed when the defenses expected them to pass in the 2022 regular season pic.twitter.com/hHyX1ZdHsc
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 20, 2023
How quarterbacks have done against top-half defenses and bottom-half defenses (using regular season EPA/play) since 2018 pic.twitter.com/cBFIGqMHsZ
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 20, 2023
Testing out my soon* publicly available shiny app by seeing which variables best correlate to EPA/Play for the 2022 season
— Doug Analytics (@Doug_Analytics) April 12, 2023
R^2 of each vs EPA/Play
ANY/attempt: 0.779
Passer Rating: 0.744
Passing 1st Down %: 0.594
Yards per Attempt: 0.495 pic.twitter.com/JCcbtDJKbA
some people suggested looking only at the last part of the season because that's when Daniel Jones came into his own
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 23, 2023
so here's every pass from every QB from week 12 onward
inside the red zone v outside it
if you aren't seeing it, you intentionally are trying not to see it pic.twitter.com/UAepKY1kWq
Expected Completion Percentage vs Average Time to Throw, per NGS
— Doug Analytics (@Doug_Analytics) April 11, 2023
R^2 = 0.385
Daniel Jones
Expected Comp: 65.5%
Time to Throw: 2.88s pic.twitter.com/hbIEoyHrf4
How quarterbacks performed this past season compared to the other quarterbacks on their team pic.twitter.com/JGqz4i96Yd
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) April 7, 2023
Pretty interesting Andy Dalton was the league’s most accurate QB on intermediate throws last season
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) March 26, 2023
Most rec from intermediate depth:
Tyreek Hill / Justin Jefferson (39)
Jaylen Waddle (35)
Chris Olave (33) pic.twitter.com/O8QHrGNqk2
A look at how often 2022 QBs threw into tight windows (bad) and what % of those throws "threw their receivers open" pic.twitter.com/XC4zab588G
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) July 7, 2023
Couple graphs on how often QBs throw to open receivers and their accuracy on those throws pic.twitter.com/ZUmL8z9bhi
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) July 5, 2023
How quarterbacks performed in the redzone vs. outside of the redzone in 2022 (minimum of 400 total plays to qualify) pic.twitter.com/yGoDElFK2s
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) June 29, 2023
NFL QB 22-2
Andy Reid & Patrick Mahomes were impervious to whatever was thrown at them last year
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 24, 2023
literally everything defenses tried to throw at them, they solved
it was truly amazing
they destroyed man or zone, didn't matter... pic.twitter.com/H3YpKeQNcX
the Bucs offensive line ranked:
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) April 10, 2023
25th in pass block win rate
31st in run block win rate
the only thing that saved them?
Tom Brady's extremely quick passes
#1 fastest time to throw last year
Baker Mayfield is completely opposite@LordReebs identifies this as a concern in 2023 pic.twitter.com/G9AFx2K4bk
How quarterbacks and their passing offenses performed when throwing over 20 air yards (deep) vs. under that (short to intermediate) in the 2022 regular season pic.twitter.com/gALgWa2gjx
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) March 1, 2023
The Bengals line has done a better job protecting Burrow recently, and my numbers show that Burrow has done an even better job protecting himself. Nearly 4% lower sack rate credited to Burrow pic.twitter.com/QQ1A0G603c
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) December 14, 2022
Number of 20+ Air Yard Completions at Each Pass Location
— Doug Analytics (@Doug_Analytics) February 11, 2023
Daniel Jones tied for the 31st most 20+ air yard completions with only 1/25 being completed in the "middle" of the field as classified by the NFL
h/t: @JustinPenik for the inspiration pic.twitter.com/HFc5Z3ThHr
Avoiding sacks and dealing with pressure are important traits that carry over from college to the NFL.
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) March 23, 2023
Here's how the 2023 projected first rounders compare to all first round QBs drafted since 2017. pic.twitter.com/latMz6ZkCd
College dropback % under pressure and EPA/play, notable QBs since ‘14
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) March 23, 2023
It seems there’s more “untapped” value to be had from prospects who’ve produced without reliable clean pockets, by glancing at names pic.twitter.com/zNwyYwKIKQ
When looking at early down and late down performance using EPA/play, no one comes close to Mahomes on 3rd and 4th down pic.twitter.com/98zEz8FXds
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 9, 2023
NFL QB 22-3
justin herbert was a quarterback who got knocked for his low average depth of target (ADoT) last season. however the relationship between ADoT and quarterback efficiency isn’t carrying as much weight as it used to
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) June 27, 2023
article: https://t.co/HdcNzwG219 pic.twitter.com/8WkvTa51QC
Wanted to see how much truth there was to the idea that mobile QBs do not check down as often.
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) June 15, 2023
Seems generally true, but a few interesting takeaways:
- Allen and Murray check down at the median rate, despite running a lot more
- Trevor Lawrence explains a lot about Etienne pic.twitter.com/rznWME2pjx
Justin Field's ability to scramble gives me hope for when he is surrounded by better offensive weapons. pic.twitter.com/BDTDFpWT9q
— Makenna Hack (@makennnahack) June 13, 2023
Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars are AFC South favorites. How they can run away with the division:https://t.co/vselHwM411 pic.twitter.com/XEOEAwXlKZ
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) June 3, 2023
A thread on quarterback scrambling in the 2022-23 season:
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) June 1, 2023
Looking at just scrambles, we can see that most quarterbacks that scramble generate a positive EPA doing so. However there are types of survivorship bias in play here as we will discuss (1/3) pic.twitter.com/tgLLKbxMZv
How aggressive quarterbacks were last season, using average depth of target, and what that meant for their efficiency in 2022 pic.twitter.com/BBv5dI4pFw
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) May 18, 2023
Only five QBs dropped back in 11 personnel at a lower rate than Mahomes last year; Mills, Tua, Lamar, Mariota and Garoppolo.
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) May 16, 2023
Three of those same QBs (Mariota, Lamar and Tua) all had 10%+ snaps in other personnel packages from what are listed (11, 12, 13, & 21). pic.twitter.com/c3zMyRyI0o
Not to keep spamming this scatterplot template, but I don't think it should come as a surprise that Kyle Shanahan and Mike McDaniel used 21 personnel at a similar rate last year.
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) May 15, 2023
Could be a reason why the Lions and Falcons used resources this offseason to beef up their RB rooms. https://t.co/2DfxHylLwC pic.twitter.com/N4oLmun9CM
NFL QB 22-4
CPOE on outside pass attempts over the last two regular seasons pic.twitter.com/kPW3AbrZ17
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) June 6, 2023
How quarterbacks performed in the first half of the season vs. the second of the season in 2022 pic.twitter.com/612XMXiWqp
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) July 8, 2023
Scramble Rate vs Sack Rate
— Doug Analytics (@Doug_Analytics) July 8, 2023
(2022 regular season QB’s with minimum 270 plays)https://t.co/kOrVj4dYik pic.twitter.com/lfhdtv24JZ
A graph where Patrick Mahomes isn't in the top right quadrant!?! He was the most efficient passer in 11 personnel last year, but the Chiefs used this package on less than 70% of their pass plays.
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) May 14, 2023
What was Andy Reid cooking up last year? Are other teams duplicating this?
1/n pic.twitter.com/IfSIlgTfY7
Here is my Air Yards over Expected model for 2022 draft-eligible QBs. The metric is designed to measure QB aggressiveness, though there are limitations to how it can be applied because of scheme. Will be turning this into a thread with other graphs/stats to show its relevance pic.twitter.com/swlF70msVv
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) March 26, 2022
A quick trip into NFL data because a groupchat conversation had me curious... man the Jets really have tried to get the QB right over the past 15 years and it just hasn't worked at all #NFLDraft pic.twitter.com/WJifKDmCHy
— CFBNumbers (@CFBNumbers) March 30, 2023
how each quarterback has performed against man and zone coverage this season: simpson's paradox in full effect for patrick mahomes
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) October 21, 2022
full breakdown: https://t.co/ER8fC5dL7h pic.twitter.com/frdsdQhngf
2022 QB Pressure Rates and Rate of Sacks Taken on Pressures.
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) April 20, 2023
Once again... Patrick Mahomes is an absolute demon. https://t.co/eJ1KZsmjsp pic.twitter.com/GUWkoUAi9F
NFL OL 22
Update of interior OL in pass protection pic.twitter.com/RurLIPRKta
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) December 14, 2022
OT left on an island rate and their raw success rate on such pass blocking plays. The Eagles's tackle duo of Lane Johnson and Jordan Mailata have been left on islands more than any other tackle duo in the league this year pic.twitter.com/WQ30XdrFy2
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 23, 2022
Final trench measures from PFF and ESPN
— Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) January 10, 2023
I wonder if the Bears will draft a pass rusher! pic.twitter.com/ywzVI8vNRc
Another reason to be bullish on the 49ers offense: The Cowboys like to stunt more than any defense in the NFL, but the 49ers OL has been one of the best at pass blocking on plays where the defense stunt. pic.twitter.com/vvSXJFwjJ9
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) January 19, 2023
Best and worst 5-man OL combos at perfectly blocking runs. Chargers and Titans both have 2 OL combos in the bottom 10 and play each other this Sunday. Bears and Falcons both have 2 OL combos in the top 10 pic.twitter.com/8cdfnr6eWR
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 15, 2022
2022 offensive tackles in pass protection pic.twitter.com/PSAhWYfWEB
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) January 10, 2023
This is an Eagles tweet pic.twitter.com/eILZbS3Noh
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) January 2, 2023
underrated aspect of team success is keeping a consistent offensive line throughout the season
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) July 3, 2023
the chiefs and eagles ranked 2nd and 3rd in percent of snaps with their offensive line intact while the steelers had the highest percentage of plays with their offensive line pic.twitter.com/tz3sqGsfkf
NFL WR 22-1
The 10 (well, 11) highest single-season Open Scores in the metric's history, dating back to 2017.https://t.co/no6LGMcNfQ pic.twitter.com/AIZqYrMUZV
— Seth Walder (@SethWalder) July 12, 2023
Last NFL season, the @WMoneyball crew were discussing how much the Eagles adding AJ Brown helped Devonta Smith and how, in general, if having a solid WR2 helps the WR1 and vice versa.
— Tim Bryan (@timbryan000) July 10, 2023
- You don’t see significant efficiency gain for the WR1 when the WR2 is on the field (there are… pic.twitter.com/nRY8j6Iwjr
Percentage of routes facing two-high looks among WR rooms last year
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) July 6, 2023
While Miami remained persistent downfield, the Bengals shortened things up and Ja’Marr Chase saw his deep ball rate fall by more than half from 2021 pic.twitter.com/vo2gIwoseQ
This was a fun podcast... and look at our boy Kalif in the Mahomes spot https://t.co/JM72lHKwpT pic.twitter.com/b95sIOhSNZ
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) June 26, 2023
Yards after the catch/reception and designed targets (screens, jet pop passes, etc) among WRs last season
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) June 5, 2023
(via @FantasyPtsData) pic.twitter.com/4Ddg2lCMxt
Plotting Rookie WRs by ESPN Open Score and YPRR:
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) June 1, 2023
- Olave/Watson are monsters
- Dotson/Pickens don't look great here
- Not entirely convinced Open Score is more than a style stat here but interesting nonetheless
- Open scores only for 50+ target players (selection bias alert) https://t.co/RFd1053B2z pic.twitter.com/3ntA6gB4w0
WR yards leaders on play action last season (@FantasyPtsData)
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) May 31, 2023
Mike Williams an interesting name towards the top pic.twitter.com/XWMbJeaS2i
Rookie season YPRR is extremely predictive of future fantasy success for WRs:
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) May 30, 2023
- Wilson/Olave/London/Watson/Burks in pretty good company
- Dotson and Pickens chilling in the middle (unlabeled)
- I will never “buy low” on players like Bell and Thornton pic.twitter.com/UP7clin2wX
Rookie season YPRR is extremely predictive of future fantasy success for WRs:
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) May 30, 2023
- Wilson/Olave/London/Watson/Burks in pretty good company
- Dotson and Pickens chilling in the middle (unlabeled)
- I will never “buy low” on players like Bell and Thornton pic.twitter.com/UP7clin2wX
Rookie season YPRR is extremely predictive of future fantasy success for WRs:
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) May 30, 2023
- Wilson/Olave/London/Watson/Burks in pretty good company
- Dotson and Pickens chilling in the middle (unlabeled)
- I will never “buy low” on players like Bell and Thornton pic.twitter.com/UP7clin2wX
Plot showing yac/reception and epa/reception of wide receivers
— Jack Padron (@jkpadron) May 13, 2023
One thing to point out is Garrett Wilson being in the "above-average" quadrant as a rookie with no QB (I'm a Jets fan) pic.twitter.com/0ad9wDK1YX
Left: NFL WRs need to be able to beat man and zone coverage
— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) April 11, 2023
Right: But NCAA YPRR vs. man coverage doesn't appear to be at all predictive of future NFL success
Why? I'm guessing it's because man coverage is so rare in the NCAA, and success there may speak more of the QB than WR pic.twitter.com/9O2oQf7tWk
NFL WR 22-2
Plot showing total epa and epa/target for wide receivers this past season.
— Jack Padron (@jkpadron) February 27, 2023
Some stuff that sticks out:
- Jaylen Waddle 🐧
- George “NFL YoungBoy” Pickens 👀
- Parris Campbell: two negatives makes a positive?? pic.twitter.com/a7EvRWsDKK
WR thread 🧵
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) February 27, 2023
How often were wide receivers targeted and how does that correspond with @bburkeESPN's Open Score?
The 21 players that had over 1k+ receiving yards last season are displayed. Aiyuk is one of the most appealing WRs to potentially target in a trade this offseason. pic.twitter.com/s643ZfYkny
Speed isn’t the be-all & end-all but it’s pretty darn important. Cowboys are bottom 10 in WR speed and in desperate need of a speed injection this off-season pic.twitter.com/LAW4l1emZp
— Reid D Hanson (@ReidDHanson) February 8, 2023
Jerry Jones wanted to move on from Amari Cooper but...
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) April 12, 2023
despite all of Deshaun Watson's struggles & despite Jacoby Brissett making 11 starts...
out of 78 players w 50+ rec, Amari Cooper ranked:
#2 in % of passes for 1st down or TD
#6 in yds in yds/rec
(via @LordReebs) pic.twitter.com/y1CDDrgcq5
Looking at the top two wide receivers in target share on each team - some thoughts:
— Sam Hoppen (@SamHoppen) April 13, 2023
*It's still amazing what Mahomes did with this group
*Will adding OBJ/Agholor be enough to lure Lamar back?
*Probably not talked enough about how the Eagles could use some depth behind Brown/Smith pic.twitter.com/P17GBGGWTt
Wide Receiver separation and yards after catch above expected this season, courtesy of @NextGenStats pic.twitter.com/gfGbngWjig
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 15, 2023
The 2022 Broncos averaged 222.5 passing YPG (14th) when Jerry Jeudy was healthy.
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) April 26, 2023
That fell to just 190.7 YPG (26th) when he wasn’t.
More stats on Jeudy and the rest of the NFL’s YAC monsters in my latest here: https://t.co/V4W7sdUS8o pic.twitter.com/IziRh3cUze
NFL RB 22-1
I do think the discourse on Austin Ekeler is a little off. Outside of the redzone, no offense was expected to gain less rushing yards than the Chargers this season, which is an OL and scheme issue. Not saying Ekeler was great or anything, but he wasn't bad https://t.co/ORvrtUVfaw pic.twitter.com/W32S7G4kuN
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) February 13, 2023
Names highlighted in red ranked inside the 80th percentile in both forced missed tackles per carry & yards after contact per attempt (via PFF) pic.twitter.com/xQ63OuNopB
— Austin Gayle (@austingayle_) May 17, 2023
Saquon Barkley 2022 Receiving Stats
— Doug Analytics (@Doug_Analytics) July 10, 2023
• 10 targets of 5+ air yards (only 3 completed)
• 44 targets at or behind the line of scrimmage
ESPN Analytics' Receiver Ratings:
• Open: 34th/36 RB's
• Catch: 22nd
• YAC: 7th
• Overall: 20th
(corrected graph from first post) https://t.co/ghMnFYWI9R pic.twitter.com/vHFAllR5bU
nick chubb has been and will continue to be the best pure rusher in the league until proven otherwise https://t.co/TZDO4YcClV pic.twitter.com/B0NuSbW5us
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) June 13, 2023
College rushing yards per game & receiving YPRR from notable RBs (2014-22) pic.twitter.com/MC5XIvlONz
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) June 9, 2023
it was time for the vikings to move on from dalvin cook, especially given his 2023 cap hit
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) June 8, 2023
most GM's probably would have made this move but would definitely expect it from kwesi adofo-mensah given he's most likely looking at the same metrics we do pic.twitter.com/oqkLbknHFS
most running backs start to regress after their rookie contract and/or when they hit the 1,500 career carry threshold. adrian peterson has been an exception but even after adjusting for age, jamaal charles is still on top
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) August 11, 2021
analysis: https://t.co/Jd1EqFfDLn pic.twitter.com/pVrhTNM00U
looking at how linebackers flow towards the rusher depending on the run concept
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) June 4, 2023
run concepts with deception such as trick, draw, etc. aren't called as often as typical runs but do appear to get linebackers stuck in place more often. zone runs appear to be better than man too pic.twitter.com/4m7Ft0QJPs
Per request, missed tackles forced/attempt vs. Rushing Yards Over Expected (via @tejfbanalytics)
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) May 28, 2023
- Bengals, Buccaneers, and Commanders should consider their backfields wide open
- I can promise you James Cook is better than Damien Harris, guys
- Breece Hall = Aaron Jones tbh https://t.co/O2obIACHTI pic.twitter.com/RzTGqjRYur
NFL RB 22-2
team that could be looking into drafting running backs based on the performance they got from their rushers last year: vikings, rams, buccaneers, commanders, texans, chargers pic.twitter.com/nPEcrRSLHG
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) April 19, 2023
the commanders and buccaneers seem like the teams most likely to take running backs in the 1st round given the production they got their running backs last year pic.twitter.com/6zfBiO9nHK
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) April 5, 2023
After the acquisition of Davante Adams, defenses aligned in two-high safety shells against the Raiders on 62.8% of plays in 2022.
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) March 8, 2023
Josh Jacobs took advantage, becoming the first player since 2016 to rush for more than 700 yards against two-high shells (1,032).#RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/omdQZX1grT
I started to experiment with LightGBM (as a substitute for XGBoost in Tidymodels) while putting together a RYOE model for the modeling chapter in my book.
— Brad Congelio 🏈📊🧑💻 (@BradCongelio) March 23, 2023
The results are not that surprising ... Chubb, Henry, Cook, and Zeke are at the top between 2016-2022.#rstats pic.twitter.com/rVpVODDKm4
it's a loaded free agent running back class highlighted by tony pollard, saquon barkley and josh jacobs all having a positive rushing yards over expected
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) February 21, 2023
pollard has been really efficient on a smaller sample size while saquon has had some variation and jacobs had a breakout year pic.twitter.com/wBI4ZCzyOJ
Rachaad White was not better than Leonard Fournette last year. In fact, he was rather bad.
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) April 19, 2023
He came in near the bottom of the league in both missed tackles forced/attempt and yards per opportunity.
Right between Kenyan Drake and James Robinson in the washed zone (bottom left) pic.twitter.com/MFq1GqRNYv
The rushing-only version of yesterday’s chart looks shockingly similar.
— Ryan Heath (@QBLRyan) April 20, 2023
- Montgomery breaks tackles but hasn’t turned that into efficiency in CHI
- Breece Hall is an absolute monster
- The distance between James Cook and Singletary/Harris = worth noting
Who sticks out to you? pic.twitter.com/jOgzLLc9ts
How often running backs had to run against 8+ defenders in the box and their overall yards per carry on the season in 2022 pic.twitter.com/n6mWqeTWw6
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 21, 2023
How often running backs had to run against 8+ defenders in the box and their overall yards per carry on the season in 2022 pic.twitter.com/n6mWqeTWw6
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 21, 2023
Each running back's expected points added (EPA) per rush and the average defenders in the box they faced on average in 2022 pic.twitter.com/fFDf5VKtn5
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 23, 2023
NFL Pass Rush 22
Updated Impact Score (Week 17)
— Tyler Jaggi (@TylerJaggi) December 29, 2022
Haason Reddick has had a great season despite how this may appear. Micah Parsons, Nick Bosa and Myles Garrett have been a tier of their own this season.
Nick Bosa is the favorite to win DPOY unless Parsons can have a huge Thursday night game. pic.twitter.com/Mamq55EAWX
Updated Impact Score list. Added several more season. pic.twitter.com/5R2FUz5u16
— Tyler Jaggi (@TylerJaggi) December 14, 2022
The Eagles, 49ers, and Jets might have good defensive lines pic.twitter.com/v0YKF3ovVT
— Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) December 27, 2022
Defensive side of the ball pic.twitter.com/j6gn3P5pKE
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) December 20, 2022
weekly update of pass rushers pic.twitter.com/MLsc9vI02M
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) December 21, 2022
The final update to the TSR for the 2022 season is here.
— Brandon Thorn (@BrandonThornNFL) January 11, 2023
- 818 sacks charted, studied & graded from 114 pass-rushers
- Top 43 rankings at edge-rusher & top 32 at interior rusher
- Top 45 overall
- Analysis + major takeaways
Final Top 27 overall attachedhttps://t.co/l201xFgd96 pic.twitter.com/rCPbIapq5O
Updated True Sack Rate is now up. 549 sacks by 100 pass-rushers studied, charted and graded to determine the most skilled & efficient sack artists in the NFL through 13 weeks with the top 27 overall leaderboard attached.
— Brandon Thorn (@BrandonThornNFL) December 8, 2022
Full analysis: https://t.co/zAOqPKH5JM pic.twitter.com/Rxzb8M2usB
2022 edge rushers. zoomed out a little bit so that all names fit in there. pic.twitter.com/44RLpd3tr3
— Timo Riske (@PFF_Moo) January 10, 2023
NFL Pass Coverage 22
only the Giants & Dolphins played more man coverage than the Lions last year
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) March 20, 2023
but Detroit ranked 27th in YPA allowed when playing man
this offseason they added three new DBs to help Aaron Glenn's secondary pic.twitter.com/iOOkpIlApZ
Since 2006, the #Patriots have had the top cornerbacks and second-best safeties in coverage.
— Haley English (@haleyeenglish17) August 19, 2022
The #Bills coverage defense has been strong every season, with its secondary rising fast.
The #Seahawks coverage unit hit its prime from 2012-2016 during their "Legion of Boom" pic.twitter.com/WuxMQ0wEfh
Bottom 15 CB's at preventing separation pic.twitter.com/3TlBQAJfgn
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) December 22, 2022
Top 15 CB's at preventing separation pic.twitter.com/jLqVFMNx6G
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) December 21, 2022
This week in defensive coverage:#Packers pass defense > run defense#Broncos defense struggling now#Panthers offense resurgence?
— Haley English (@haleyeenglish17) November 30, 2022
Article: https://t.co/7AUpocDbQJ pic.twitter.com/YS4AT0W7Ok
Top 10 CBs in me and @throwthedamball metric for evaluating coverage players on all coverage plays. I'm ready to call Sauce Gardner the best CB in the NFL after accounting that he's a rookie, top 5 in before the catch, and the best CB at the catch point (lowest EPA/target in NFL) pic.twitter.com/ePU5rGT3b8
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) December 22, 2022
How often is each team running man coverage?
— Haley English (@haleyeenglish17) November 11, 2022
Sometimes teams change it up by opponent (#Raiders, #49ers, #Bills)
But some teams choose to keep the same gameplan (#Rams, #Titans, #Giants) pic.twitter.com/airDTj1ukX
Colts will miss Isaiah Rodgers who was sneaky good last year (albeit in a small sample) pic.twitter.com/7AJDrxGoff
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) June 6, 2023
A look at how often teams have used different defensive coverages, by week.
— Sam Hoppen (@SamHoppen) December 14, 2022
The Titans and Giants looks like most consistent teams in how they play coverage while Raiders and Packers have been all over the place. pic.twitter.com/sB0tfKZrGH
2022 CB Separation allowed in Man vs Zone:
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) June 27, 2023
Some initial takeaways:
1) Sauce vs Stingley contrast is wild
2) Chiefs young corners in man👀
3) Patrick Peterson still has it? pic.twitter.com/ljseUHxrHb