2024/6/26 投資ネタ

UG
#AAPL upgraded at Rosenblatt after survey says privacy-focused AI could resonate at 260
-ﾏｰｹｯﾄｼｪｱ拡大余地
-Privacy強化のAAPL AIは消費者ﾆｰｽﾞに合致
#FDX upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan at 359
-Freight部門の見直しを好感
--valuation改善のためには効果的
#HD upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson at 395
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
-ｾｸﾀｰのﾏｸﾛはﾎﾞﾄﾑｱｳﾄ
-金利低下で需要改善期待
#HOOD upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
-EPS見通しが甘すぎ
--net deposit 20%+ YoY CAGR
--ｱｶｳﾝﾄ 5%+ YoY CAGR
#CPB upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan at 52
-ﾏﾈｼﾞﾒﾝﾄﾐｰﾃｨﾝｸﾞ
--Sovosの需要が期待以上
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝも期待以上に拡大余地
#DLR upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital at 170
-2026までFFO成長可能
--BSの改善/堅調な需要/値上げ
-AI関連銘柄でもある
DG
#ACN downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley at 300
-ﾏﾙﾁﾌﾟﾙ悪化
--ｸﾗｳﾄﾞ関連の鈍化
--AI関連のﾏﾈﾀｲｽﾞ遅延
--投資費用増加
#APTV downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler at 63
-RIVNのﾆｭｰｽはﾈｶﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
--EVﾒｰｶｰは独自規格の開発に舵切り
--Aptiveの様な企業への依存度減

earnings
#GIS stock falls after revenue miss and soft guidance - MW
〇:Q4EPS・ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ
×:Q4売上
-Q4SSS -6%(volume -2%/Price -4%) vs -3.3%e
-FY25 SSSg flat to 1% vs 1.18%e
-北米小売・ﾍﾟｯﾄ× vs ﾌｰﾄﾞｻｰﾋﾞｽ〇
-小売の在庫整理続く
-インフレ/原材料× vs 輸送ｺｽﾄ〇
-需要回復見込むも長期目標未満
#PAYX Tops Q4 EPS by 2c; offers outlook - SI
〇:Q4売上・EPS
×:FY25売上g
-SMB:規制/ﾀｲﾄな労働市場/ｲﾝﾌﾚが重石
#LUV now sees Q2 RASM down 4%-4.5% vs. previous view down 1.5%-3.5%
-ASMは増加でｵﾌｾｯﾄ可能
#MU
〇:Q3売上・EPS/Q4EPSg
×:Q4売上g
-AI需要でﾃﾞｰﾀｾﾝﾀｰ向けは過去最高収益
-自動車向け需要も強く最高益
-見通し失望
--PC/ｽﾏﾎ需要が弱い
#LEVI

TP関連
#NVDA price target raised to $150 from $126 at Citi
-FY25/26のEPS見通し引上げ
--GB200とNVL36/76のｻﾌﾟﾗｲﾁｪｰﾝの強化
-今後は企業のAI投資も本格化
#AAPL Intelligence to drive improved Services growth, says BofA
-Apple AIによりｻｰﾋﾞｽも成長可能
#TSLA SET TO DELIVER ROBUST MULTI-YEAR GROWTH IN 2025-27+
-Model 3/Yの買替需要
-Model 2の需要期待
#FDX price target raised to $300 from $275 at Wells Fargo
-Freight部門のspin-off次第
-効率化の進展は〇
#AMZN price target raised to $220 from $210 at BofA
-更なる効率化余地有
#GOOG price target raised to $215 from $200 at Jefferies
-ｻｰﾍﾞｲ結果が良好
--Google検索の優位性維持
-OPEN AIとｼｪｱ競争
#CCL price target raised to $19 from $18 at Deutsche Bank
-消費鈍化懸念を払拭
#RCL price target raised to $204 from $165 at Citi
-CCL決算を受けて見通し上方修正
#COTY price target lowered to $11 from $12 at Barclays
-EBITDA悪化は続く
#SHOP Citi ups Shopify target, adds to U.S. Focus List
-2Hの売上成長率加速
-AIの恩恵
-Eｺﾏ市場の底堅さ
#PEP price target raised to $184 from $181 at JPMorgan
-ｽﾅｯｸの需要低迷は織込済
-上昇にはﾎﾞﾄﾑｱｳﾄが必要
#CVNA investor event exceeds expectations, says Needham
-期待を超える効率化
--効率化計画/新ｱﾌﾟﾘ/Adesa店舗の活用
-ｿﾌﾄｳｪｱﾌﾟﾗｯﾄﾌｫｰﾑも過小評価

個別株
#TSLA BAIRD SEES TESLA MISS Q2 DELIVERIES
#TSM is reportedly looking to establish a CoWoS advanced packaging plant in Pingtung, Taiwan, to meet rising demand.
#MU Samsung reportedly plans to increase DRAM and NAND prices by 15-20% in Q3 2024 due to rising AI-driven demand.
#AIG to sell global individual personal travel insurance unit to Zurich for $600M
#WHR Whirlpool up 12% after Reuters says Bosch weighing bid
FED: BANKS PASS THE STRESS TEST, PAVING WAY FOR HIGHER PAYOUTS.
マクロ・債券
(米国)
US MBA MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS ACTUAL 0.8% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 0.9%)
U.S NEW HOME SALES (MAY) ACTUAL: 619K VS 634K PREVIOUS; EST 633K
(欧州)
ECB’S REHN SEES BETS FOR TWO MORE CUTS IN 2024 AS ‘REASONABLE’
ECB'S PANETTA: IN BASELINE, ECB WILL PURSUE NORMALISATION GRADUALLY AND SMOOTHLY.
GERMAN GFK CONSUMER SENTIMENT ACTUAL -21.8 (FORECAST -19.5, PREVIOUS -20.9)
FRENCH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE ACTUAL 89 (FORECAST 89, PREVIOUS 90)
UK CBI DISTRIBUTIVE TRADES ACTUAL -24 (FORECAST 0, PREVIOUS 8)
(その他)
AUSTRALIAN CPI YOY NSA ACTUAL 4% (FORECAST 3.8%, PREVIOUS 3.6%)
SWEDISH PPI YOY ACTUAL 2.6% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 0.9%)

コモ
EIA CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES ACTUAL 3.591M (FORECAST -2.82M, PREVIOUS -2.547M)