2024/8/9 投資ネタ

UG
#GD upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley at 345
-綺麗なBSで資本還元余地が多い
-軍需需要強くPESｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞ有
#PYPL upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Daiwa at 72
-改革結実が早い
--Braintreeの収益性改善など
-Q3決算も好調見込み
#SYF upgraded to Buy at BofA at 54
-ｸﾚｼﾞｯﾄの改善
-CFPBの決済遅延ﾙｰﾙの後ずれは短期的なｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞ
#LAD upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim at 338

DG
#LHX downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley at 257
-競合他社対比弱い決算
-Aerojet買収により資本還元余地も限定的
#HGV downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
-6月にﾀｲﾑｼｪｱ需要が鈍化
-ﾘｽﾄﾗで不透明性悪化
#SHOP downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank

個別株
#TSM TSM reported a 45% YoY revenue increase in July, reaching a record NT$256.95B ($7.91B), up 23.6% MoM
#CSCO TO LAY OFF THOUSANDS IN SECOND JOB CUT THIS YEAR: RTRS

$CMG $NVR $RNR $NOC $RTX $UBER added to BofA US 1 List
$MU $AZEK $DELL $SEE removed

TP関連
#LLY PT raised by several firms
-Mounjaro/Zepboundのｻﾌﾟﾗｲ改善もあり見通し引上げ
-FY24-26までの売上見通し引上げ
#EXPE price target lowered mized
-ﾏｸﾛの重石でQ3見通しが弱い
-7月から旅行需要鈍化
-ﾌﾞﾗﾝﾄﾞ力は強く、Vrboも改善
#TTD price target raised to $115 from $105 at KeyBanc
-広告市場でｼｪｱ拡大
-2025/26で20%成長達成可能
--CTVのﾓﾒﾝﾀﾑ加速
#LMT #NOC price target raised Morgan Stanley
-地政学ﾘｽｸが高い中で軍需産業はﾃﾞｨﾌｪﾝｼﾌﾞ性有
#ELF price target mixed
-ｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽを懸念しすぎ
#DDOG price target lowered to $140 from $145 at Barclays
-ﾏｸﾛの重石にも関わらず堅調な内容
#PLTR Citi Raises PT to $30 from $28
-AI向けの予算を獲得できる
--8倍の新規顧客と米企業向けが強い
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝが高すぎてﾏﾙﾁﾌﾟﾙ拡大は難しい
#YETI price target raised to $38 from $36 by several firms
-ﾏｸﾛ環境悪化の中でのｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ引上げは違和感
-米国のSSSは実際伸びていない
vs
-ｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ引上げは同社の競争力の高さの証明
#UAA price target raised by several firms
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ拡大
--販促減/ｺｽﾄｶｯﾄ
-売り上げは10%減
--wholesale/DTC共にｲﾏｲﾁ
#QSR price target lowered by several firms
-8%の営業利益伸び率はﾎﾟｼﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
-価格競争は恐れていたほどではない
#CF price target raised to $83 from $76 at BofA
-穀物価格下落で窒素購入先送りﾘｽｸ

マクロ・債券
(米国)
キャリートレード巻き戻しはさらに進行へ、１ドル100円にも－ＢＮＹ
70% of CEOs do not anticipate a US recession in the next 12-18 months—up from 17% in Q3 2023
29% anticipate a brief and shallow US recession, —down from 80%
1% anticipate a deep US recession—down from 4% in Q3 2023
(欧州)
FRENCH ILO UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ACTUAL 7.3% (FORECAST 7.5%, PREVIOUS 7.5%)
GERMAN HICP FINAL YOY ACTUAL 2.6% (FORECAST 2.6%, PREVIOUS 2.6%)
ITALIAN HICP FINAL YOY ACTUAL 1.6% (FORECAST 1.7%, PREVIOUS 1.7%)
(その他)
*CHINA JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.5% Y/Y; EST. +0.3%
*CHINA JULY PRODUCER PRICES FALL 0.8% Y/Y; EST. -0.9%
CANADIAN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE ACTUAL -2.8K (FORECAST 25K, PREVIOUS -1.4K)
CANADIAN AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS YOY ACTUAL 5.2% (FORECAST 4.8%, PREVIOUS 5.60%)