2024/8/12 投資ネタ

UG
#HOOD Piper Sandler Upgrades Robinhood Markets to Overweight, Raises PT to $23 from $20
-押し目買い推奨
--利下げによる取引量/マージンローン増加
--NIIは悪化するが恩恵が大きい
#ALL #PRU upgrades Prudential to Equal Weight
-強力な資本基盤、ビジネスモメンタム
#LLY upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank at 1025
#MAA BofA Securities Upgrades Mid-America Apartment Communities to Buy, Raises PT to $189 from $144
-キャップレートにアップサイド有
-2H24に賃貸市場の鈍化がなければ、FY25はアップサイドに妙味

DG
#QCOM downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
-サプライチェーンチェック:AAPLはモデムの内製化で進展あり
--iphone18から国外のiphoneについては内製化モデムで対応見込み
#PLD downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA
-賃料インフレの鈍化が長引いている
-FY25の回復もおそらく鈍い

個別株
#AAPL Foxconn added 50k workers at its Zhengzhou plant as it prepares for the iPhone 16 launch
#MU is reportedly considering building a 2nd R&D center in Taiwan next year, in addition to expanding its capacity for advanced HBM memory chips, driven by government support and competition with SK Hynix and Samsung.
#SBUX Activist Starboard Value Takes Stake in Starbucks - WSJ
#HE raises going concern risk over Maui wildfire settlement financing - Fox Biz
#JBLU shares drop on $400 million convertible notes offering announcement - SI

TP関連
#DELL price target lowered to $140 from $165 at Evercore ISI
-ネットワークは在庫処理がまだ必要
-7月期/2Hの見通しは基本的には明るい
#DIS price target lowered to $94 from $107 at Macquarie
-広告収入が改善せず
#WMT Evercore ISI Issues Positive Tactical Trade Call on Walmart, Reiterates Outperform Rating with $74 PT
-基本はinline/見通しも据え置き
-リスク
--消費鈍化による見通し引下げ
--賃上げ/投資増/輸送費増/競争激化
#BBY Evercore Issues Negative Tactical Call on Best Buy with PT of $60, Adds to Underperform List Ahead of 2Q Earnings
-家電/TVでシェア喪失リスク
-マージンはコストカット余地がもう限定的
--販促拡大リスクも有
#TGT added to Tactical Underperform List at Evercore ISI
-Q3の客足軟調
#M price target lowered to $17 from $22 at Citi
-Q2の売上とガイダンスはインライン見通し
-EPSは上振れ、ガイダンスの引きあげは無し
#MLM price target lowered to $646 from $658 at Citi
-ボリューム見通しを下方修正
#SNAP price target lowered to $11 from $16 at Citi
-DRプラットフォームの進展はポジティブ
-広告支出の減少/小売、テック、エンタメ
#ULCC price target lowered to $6 from $7 at Barclays
-Q3マージンガイダンスが弱い
-Q3の本数削減でQ4のRASM改善期待
#HBI price target raised by several firms
-チャンピオンの切り離しでコア事業に注力可
-マージン拡大
#UPST price target raised to $35 from $25 at Barclays
-好決算
#PCAR price target lowered to $100 from $106 at Citi
-ACTの見通し下方修正
#CVX price target lowered to $154 from $167 at Bernstein
-2025年7月までHES合併完了しない
#QSR price target lowered to $75 from $82 at Piper Sandler
-新店舗の増加が予想以下
-売上見通しが予想以下
#TTD price target raised to $130 from $110 at Baird
-モメンタムは継続
--2H/2025の好材料も後押し
#PANW price target raised to $360 from $330 at Stifel
-チャネルチェック:サイバーセキュリティへの支出は好調
#EXPE price target raised to $145 from $125 at Susquehanna
-Q2はbetter than feared
-7月の需要減と見通し引下げはリスク
#ZG price target raised to $55 from $42 at Susquehanna
-新商品が好調
#AFL price target raised to $90 from $81 at Wells Fargo
-資本還元がヘルシー、マージン強い
-日本の販売好調
#CVS price target raised to $61 from $60 at Wells Fargo
-Aetnan問題解決に注力中
-可視性は低いが収益力は上昇余地大
#H price target lowered to $164 from $168 at Truist
-Orlandoの施設売却の可能性
--売却後は自社株買い加速 or MA

マクロ・債券
(米国)
Evercore: This is now a labor-data first Fed, not an inflation-data first Fed. Despite market concerns around inflation, our view is that the Fed's focus has fundamentally shifted. The labor market is now the primary concern, with inflation data, including the upcoming July CPI, playing a secondary role.
"CTA supply almost over with $81B out of global equities and $24B out of SPX in the last week...still for sale over the next week, but much more manageable supply" - GS
(欧州)

(その他)
BoE's Mann says UK wage pressures may last for years - Reuters
英インフレは加速の見通し、英中銀の追加利下げ判断はより慎重に
中国への直接投資、記録的な規模の流出超過-強い経済悲観論反映か

コモ
Israel keeps up strikes in Gaza as fears of wider war grow - Reuters
US Beefs Up Middle East Forces Ahead of Gaza Truce Talks - BBG
Oil extends gains for fifth session on Mideast tensions, US data - Reuters
OPEC cuts 2024 oil demand growth forecast, citing China - Reuters
PUTIN ORDERS DEFMIN TO SQUEEZE OUT ENEMY FROM RUSSIAN TERRITORY
ISRAELI MILITARY: WE ARE AT HIGHEST STATE OF ALERT

この記事が気に入ったらサポートをしてみませんか?