2024/6/11 投資ネタ

UG
#AAPL upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson at 230
-AIが買替サイクルを加速
#RHI upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas at 80
#MAN upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas at 92
-EPSの下降サイクルは終わる
--転職市場の改善
#T upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas

DG
#CLF downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan at 17
-収益増のカタリスト無 vs 他社は有
--マクロ環境の悪化(自動車在庫増)
--2028までcapex増
#CMCSA downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Exane BNP Paribas at 34
-ACPの終了に伴う競争激化

earnings
#ORCL stock soars as upbeat guidance, Google deal outweigh earnings miss
〇:Q4マージン/FY25売上g
△:Q1EPSg
×:Q4売上・EPS/Q1売上g
-AI需要でFY25売上は10%超成長 vs 9%est
--期を追うごとに成長率増
-RPO増が予想以上
-GCPとの提携発表

個別株
#LLY A top Eli Lilly exec revealed that more patients are paying the full list price for its obesity drug Zepbound than for Mounjaro
#LLY FDA AdCom on Eli Lilly's donanemab better than anticipated, says Cantor
-アルツハイマー薬のドルネマブ承認の可能性が想定よりも良い
#AAPL keynote at WWDC brought no surprises, says Barclays
#AAPL AI strategy came in-line with expectations, says UBS
#AAPL Apple shares 'taking a breather' with no 'killer apps,' says JPMorgan
#AAPL Citi says Apple keynote 'best WWDC conference in a long time'
#AAPL Wells says Apple Intelligence could stimulate significant iPhone upgrade cycle
#AAPL KeyBanc views Apple's WWDC as 'a sell-the-news event'
#AAPL WWDC keynote makes Morgan Stanley more confident in Alphabet GenAI leadership
#AAPL Intelligence should accelerate device replacement, says Morgan Stanley
#AAPL Apple's AI announcements largely as expected, says Bernstein
#AAPL Oppenheimer bullish on Apple iOS 18, potential to accelerate product replacement
-評価もミックス
-新iphoneへの買替需要の見解はミックス
#AVGO to report 'beat and raise' quarter on AI strength, says Citi
-コンセンサス以上の決算
--AI需要とVMWare買収効果の加速
--AI需要は10blnから11blnへの上方修正見込
#GM BOARD APPROVES NEW $6 BILLION SHARE REPURCHASE AUTHORIZATION
#AFRM Affirm says payment products expected to be available to U.S. Apple Pay users
#MSFT Microsoft is reportedly considering a big new software bundle as it figures out how to charge for AI.

TP関連
#GOOG price target raised to $225 from $220 at Evercore ISI
-検索のシェアは圧倒的なまま
-AAPLとの提携も十分あり得る
#NUE price target lowered to $180 from $190 at JPMorgan
-Q2以降の見通し悪化コメント懸念
--鉄鋼価格・出荷量の弱さ
--鉄板は在庫高止まり
--特殊財のプレミアムも減少
#WDC price target raised to $88 from $80 at Susquehanna
-コンセンサス以上の決算見込
-NAND ASPの上昇
#NVDA price target raised by several firms
#ACN price target lowered to $294 from $350 at TD Cowen
-チャネルチェック:企業の支出は弱いまま
#AIG price target raised to $84 from $82 at BofA
-CRBG売却で自社株買い加速
#HOG DA Davidson's May retail checks on Harley-Davidson saw positive sales growth
-チャネルチェック:5月の売上トレンドが強い
-在庫調整の為にQ3から出荷減少

マクロ・債券
(米国)
May NFIB small business optimism index 90.5, consensus 89.7
Pimco Warns of More US Regional Bank Failures on Property Pain
US REDBOOK YOY ACTUAL 5.5% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 5.8%)
BOFA'S ATHANASIA: BOFA SEES STRONGER DEMAND FOR LOANS ON THE LOWER END.
10-Year Note Auction
0Y high yield 4.438%, WI 4.458%, 2bps stop through, biggest since Feb 2023
(欧州)
ECB'S REHN: WE KNOW THAT THE INFLATION PATH IS A BUMPY ROAD, BUT WE SEE STABILISATION AHEAD.
ECB、今後の利下げ急ぐべきでも遅らせるべきでもない-仏中銀総裁
ECB'S LANE: WE'RE NOT PRE-COMMITTING TO A PARTICULAR RATE PATH.
ELYSEE PALACE DENIES REPORTS OF MACRON'S RESIGNATION
(その他)
英失業率が上昇、賃金の伸びも鈍化-インフレ圧力和らぐ兆し
Delinquent Mortgages in the United Kingdom rise to highest level in 8 years
CANADA BUILDING PERMITS HIGHEST M/M GAIN IN FOUR YEARS
コモ
US API CRUDE OIL STOCK CHANGE ACTUAL -2.428M (FORECAST -1.75M, PREVIOUS 4.052M)

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