2024/8/5 投資ネタ
UG
#LMT upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital at 600
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
-売上/F35の納入再開
-MFC部門の見通し改善
#HOOD Citi Upgrades Robinhood Markets to Neutral from Sell, with PT of $18
-預金増/ﾏｰｼﾞﾝﾊﾞﾗﾝｽ増/取引量増
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
#FIVN double upgraded to Buy at BofA with bear thesis having 'run its course'
-短中期的にAI需要が追い風
#PYPL upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at Phillip Securities at 80
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
--ﾈｯﾄﾜｰｸの2面性/Eｺﾏへのシフト/新商品
DG
#PLD downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital at 127
-MTMは過去18か月の間に縮小
--賃料の伸び率見通しを踏まえると更に縮小見込
-成長見通し自体はﾎﾟｼﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
#ALB downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird at 85
-ﾌﾟﾗｲｼﾝｸﾞが重石となり短期的に低迷
--需給反転の兆しも無し
#PSA downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA at 318
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
-倉庫需要が改善する期待を撤回
-新規顧客に対するﾌﾟﾗｲｼﾝｸﾞも不調
#KBH #TOL downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Seaport Research
#PHM #LEN downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Seaport Research
-収益見通しﾘｽｸがﾀﾞｳﾝｻｲﾄﾞ
-利下げ期待でﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝのみ上昇
--在庫増はﾘｽｸ
earnings
#TSN Tyson Foods tops quarterly estimates as demand rebounds, costs begin to fall
〇:Q3売上・EPS・ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ
-鶏肉が改善
-牛肉のｻﾌﾟﾗｲは改善しないまま
#CAR
×:Q2売上・EBITDA・ﾚﾝﾀﾙ日数
-期を追うごとに需要・ﾌﾟﾗｲｼﾝｸﾞ改善
#CSX
〇:Q2ﾎﾞﾘｭｰﾑ・貨物単価
-:Q2売上・EPS・
#PLTR
〇:Q2売上・EPS/Q3売上・営業利益
US Commercial: $159M; UP +55% YoY, UP +6% QoQ
US Government: $278M; UP +24% YoY, UP +8% QoQ
#O
〇:Q2売上・FFO
#ZI
×:Q2売上・EPS/Q3売上・EPS/FY24EPS
-NRRが85%を切る
--小企業からのｶｯﾄ
個別株
#AAPL Buffett’s Surprising Move: Dropping 50% of Apple (AAPL) Stock
#TSLA Regulators investigating death at Tesla's Gigafactory Texas, KVUE reports
#DELL is cutting jobs in its sales team as part of a reorganization to focus more on AI, per Bloomberg.
#GOOG loses DOJ antitrust suit over search practices, violating antitrust law, according to Bloomberg
TP関連
#NVDA Citi Removes 30-Day Upside Catalyst Watch on NVDA
-Blackwellの遅延ﾆｭｰｽでFY24 1月Qの見通しを変更
-FY25の売上見通しを5% cut
--遅延の一部はH100/H200で代替見込み
-B20は規制される見込み
-遅延でAMDの台頭を許す可能性
#NVDA product delay to not impact 2025 earnings, says Goldman Sachs at 135
#NVDA selloff on Blackwell bumps offers enhanced buying opportunity, says BofA
-B200の遅延は株価にﾎﾞﾗを生むかもしれない
-2025の収益には影響を与えない
--需要ｻｲﾄﾞの問題ではないため、代替策有
-長期的競争力にも影響を与えない
#NFLX pullback makes Jefferies 'increasingly bullish' on Q4 set-up
-米でのQ4の値上げは可能
--前回の値上げは2022 1月
--ad tierはまだ最安値
--ｽﾎﾟｰﾂ放映によるみりょっく増
#AMAT price target lowered to $240 from $250 at Citi
#KLAC price target lowered to $960 from $990 at Citi
#LRCX price target lowered to $990 from $1,025 at Citi
-INTCのCapexｶｯﾄで見通し引下げ
-中国向けHBM需要に対する規制ﾘｽｸ
#CVX price target lowered to $180 from $190 at RBC Capital
-EPSのﾐｽ
-仲裁の遅延による不確実性
#ROKU price target lowered to $65 from $75 at Pivotal Research
-ﾒﾃﾞｨｱ/娯楽関連の逆風
-ｽﾄﾘｰﾐﾝｸﾞ向け広告が飽和
-マクロの逆風
#BA price target lowered to $207 from $222 at Bernstein
-新CEOは内部の知識と人的ﾈｯﾄﾜｰｸなより困難
-cash減継続
--防衛部門のｺｽﾄ増/在庫増
vs
--737/787の生産増/777Xの認証/中国への出荷
#DIS price target lowered to $110 from $130 at Morgan Stanley
-FY25のﾊﾟｰｸ事業により警戒
#WMT Morgan Stanley says survey suggests Walmart+ members at highest level since 2020
-Walmart+の会員数が2020年来最大
#TGT price target lowered at JPMorgan
-消費力の鈍化が継続
--労働市場の鈍化/家計BSの悪化
-販促強化要
#APD price target raised by several firms
-Q3決算を反映
-ｸﾘｰﾝ水素ﾒｶﾞﾌﾟﾛｼﾞｪｸﾄのｵﾌﾃｲｸ契約確定優先
#APTV price target lowered to $100 from $105 at Barclays
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝは悪くないが結局ｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽｶｯﾄ
#TEAM price target lowered to $250 from $275 at Barclays
-Q4決算を反映
-FY26に大手顧客がｸﾗｳﾄﾞに移行
#CMI price target raised to $310 from $259 at Barclays
-medium dutyとﾃﾞｰﾀｾﾝﾀｰ需要で堅調なスタート
#PSX price target raised to $138 from $136 at Barclays
-ｺﾓﾃﾞｨﾃｨ価格を反映
#LIN price target raised by several firms
-更なるﾎﾞﾘｭｰﾑ増の余地有
#MA price target raised to $536 from $530 at Barclays
#TWLO price target lowered to $65 from $70 at Barclays
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ拡大の為にﾄｯﾌﾟﾗｲﾝ上昇が必要
#W
-Q2期待以下/見通しも厳しい
#YETI price target lowered to $47 from $49 at Citi
-ｳｪﾌﾞﾄﾗﾌｨｯｸ:ｱｸｾｽがQoQで鈍化
#DD price target raised to $102 from $87 at RBC Capital
-Q2決算/ｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽを反映
--ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ拡大継続/ｺｽﾄｶｯﾄ・ﾎﾞﾘｭｰﾑ上昇
#DASH price target raised by several firms
-ｵｰﾀﾞｰの頻度/維持率/ｻｲｽﾞ問題なし
-GOV/EBITDA見通しも強め
#NET price target raised to $85 from $80 at Susquehanna
-ﾋﾞｼﾞﾈｽのﾓﾒﾝﾀﾑは強いまま
#MTB #CFG #KEY #CMA #ZION price target raised at Morgan Stanley
-利下げが売上に貢献/ｸﾚｼﾞｯﾄのｽﾄﾚｽも緩和
#PINS price target lowered to $39 from $49 at Loop Capital
-食品関連の広告需要が弱い
--それ以外は安定
-ﾕｰｻﾞｰ増加/ｴﾝｹﾞｰｼﾞﾒﾝﾄの強さはﾎﾟｼﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
マクロ・債券
(米国)
ハリス氏、有力候補３人と会談へ－副大統領候補選びは最終段階に
US ISM SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 51.4 (FORECAST 51, PREVIOUS 48.8)
US ISM SERVICES EMPLOYMENT ACTUAL 51.1 (FORECAST 46.4, PREVIOUS 46.1)
US ISM SERVICES PRICES PAID ACTUAL 57 (FORECAST 55.1, PREVIOUS 56.3)
FED SURVEY: A NET 7.9% OF LARGE AND MEDIUM BANKS TIGHTENED STANDARDS FOR COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL LOANS IN Q2, VS 15.6% IN Q1.
FED SURVEY: OVER THE SECOND QUARTER, SIGNIFICANT NET SHARES OF BANKS REPORTED HAVING TIGHTENED STANDARDS FOR ALL TYPES OF CRE LOANS.
(欧州)
SPANISH SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 53.9 (FORECAST 55, PREVIOUS 56.8)
ITALIAN SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 51.7 (FORECAST 52.9, PREVIOUS 53.7)
FRENCH SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 50.1 (FORECAST 50.7, PREVIOUS 50.7)
GERMAN SERVICES PMI FINAL ACTUAL 52.5 (FORECAST 52, PREVIOUS 52.0)
EUROZONE SENTIX INVESTOR CONFIDENCE INDEX ACTUAL -13.9 (FORECAST -8, PREVIOUS -7.3)+
EUROZONE PPI YOY ACTUAL -3.2% (FORECAST -3.3%, PREVIOUS -4.2%)
(その他)
AUSTRALIAN COMPOSITE PMI FINAL ACTUAL 49.9 (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 50.2)
China's Caixin Service PMI for Jul comes in at 52.1, vs expected 51.5, prev 51.2 in the previous month.
JAPANESE SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 53.7 (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 53.9)
BOJ MEMBERS SUGGEST RAISING RATES IF APRIL OUTLOOK IS MET
豪中銀、タカ派的な据え置きへ－主要中銀の緩和サイクルに沿わず
UK SERVICES PMI FINAL ACTUAL 52.5 (FORECAST 52.4, PREVIOUS 52.4)
コモ
China Steel Slump Deepens as Price Collapses Toward 2017 Level
Aluminium dropped amid mounting demand concerns from China.
IRAN: WE ARE NOT LOOKING TO ESCALATE TENSIONS IN THE REGION.
イラン、イスラエルを抑止する力の再構築目指す－全面戦争回避示唆か