2024/9/5 投資ネタ

UG
#JWN upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays
-創業家による買収の可能性
#ROKU upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo at 72
-Rokuチャンネルの強い成長続く
--サードパーティ経由のマネタイズ強化

DG
#KBH downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital at 70
-プライシング悪化
-金利低下にもかかわらず住宅データは軟調
--年末の受注に不透明感
#DLTR downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital at 65
#DLTR downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital at 68
-競争激化で低価格商品の優位性減
--関税/賃金関連の規制リスク
#INTC downgraded to Sell from Hold at Erste Group
#CDNS downgraded to Hold from Buy at Erste Group

earnings
#AVGO
〇:Q3売上・EPS
×:Q4売上
#JBLU JetBlue rallies after boosting Q3 revenue and capacity guidance - SA
-JETBLUE SAYS OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE OVER SUMMER IMPROVED Y/Y

個別株
iPhone受託生産の鴻海、8月の売上高は33%増-増収ペース加速
バーバリー、英FTSE100から除外-高級ブランド戦略迷走で正念場
#TSLA TESLA ROLLOUT OF SELF-DRIVING TECH IN CHINA MAY TAKE LONGER THAN EXPECTED
#TSLA CO PLANS FOR Q1 2025 LAUNCH OF FULL SELF-DRIVING IN EUROPE, CHINA
#DIS DISNEY DATA LEAKED ONLINE INCLUDES SOME EMPLOYEE, CUSTOMER DATA, DETAILED FINANCIAL INFORMATION, DOCUMENTS SHOW
#LLY 'S ONCE-WEEKLY INSULIN SHOWS POSITIVE RESULTS IN PHASE 3 TRIALS

TP関連
#AAPL BofA Securities Reiterates Buy Rating on $AAPL with a Price Target of $256, Cites "Start of a New Software-Driven Upgrade Cycle"
-F25 241mm/F26 257mmの出荷
-販促は昨年レベル
#ASML Morgan Stanley Lowers $ASML PT to EUR925 from EUR1,000, Maintains Overweight Rating, Removes Stock as "Top Pick"
-マルチプルはピークアウトした可能性有
-AIインフラ投資は続くが、高い期待をミートできない可能性
-FY26の売上見通し引下げ
--INTCの設備投資減
#ASML #ARM ASM International, Arm named 'joint Top Pick' in EU Semis at Morgan Stanley

#ON Citi Reiterates Neutral Rating on $ON Semiconductor, Maintains PT at $77
-売上改善でマージン53%達成は容易
--効率化/コストカットの恩恵
-自動車市場は安定化もダウンサイドリスク有
--Silicon CarbideはEV鈍化と過剰供給
#INTC Citi Reiterates Neutral rating on $INTC, and keeps $25 PT
-ファウンドリービジネスを売却するか否か
-CPUの製造は順調
#LULU price target lowered to $375 from $425 at HSBC
-成長とマージンを踏まえると売られすぎ
-スポーツグッズも半年前よりは改善
#NKE price target raised to $95 from $90 at HSBC
-スポーツグッズは半年前よりは改善
#CNC price target lowered to $97 from $98 at Barclays
-Medicaidのマージン回復期待後退
#DKS price target mixed
-長期的なシェア拡大見込み
-2Hのアップサイドは限定的
#AI price target lowered by several firms
-売上成長率は加速
-サブスクリプション成長率はQoQで悪化
--AIアプリ採用の恩恵を受けきれていない
#XPO #ODFL TP lowered by WFC
-8月の輸送量軟調
#HPE price target lowered to $21 from $24 at BofA

#CPRT price target lowered to $56 from $58 at Baird
-投資期間でコストが嵩む
#ZG Citi 'incrementally positive' on Zillow shares after meetings
-マクロが厳しい中でも新商品は拡大
-営業利益拡大に焦点

マクロ・債券
(米国)
U.S ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE (AUG) ACTUAL: 99K VS 122K PREVIOUS; EST 145K
US LABOR COSTS REVISED ACTUAL 0.4% (FORECAST 0.8%, PREVIOUS 0.9%)
US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 227K (FORECAST 230K, PREVIOUS 231K)
ISM Services 51.5, Exp. 51.4, Last 51.4
New Orders 53.0, Exp. 51.9
Prices Paid 57.3, Exp. 56.0
Employment 50.2, Exp. 50.5
(欧州)
GERMAN CONSTRUCTION PMI ACTUAL 38.9 (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 40.0)
ITALIAN CONSTRUCTION PMI ACTUAL 46.6 (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 45.0)
FRENCH CONSTRUCTION PMI ACTUAL 40.1 (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 39.7)
EUROZONE RETAIL SALES MOM ACTUAL 0.1% (FORECAST 0.2%, PREVIOUS -0.3%)
(その他)
JAPANESE AVERAGE CASH EARNINGS YOY ACTUAL 3.6% (FORECAST 2.9%, PREVIOUS 4.5%)
UK CONSTRUCTION PMI ACTUAL 53.6 (FORECAST 54.5, PREVIOUS 55.3)
UK COMPANIES' EXPECTED WAGE GROWTH OVER THE NEXT YEAR UNCHANGED AT 4.1% IN 3 MONTHS TO AUGUST


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