昨年の金融市場振り返り 1/2
Last year, many countries keep their monetary policy. Governments use money in order to recover country's economic so governments need to issue a huge amount of government bonds. Furthermore, Central banks like FRB, ECB and BOJ keep the bank rate low and keep buying risk assets, mainly government bonds.
At last there are a lot of money in financial markets and the value of currency degraded. Investors can get money easily, so many kinds of asset's price is higher and higher.
The S&P 500 rang up about 70 times all time high records.
Last year was "vaccinated" year. Many covid 19 vaccine was developed and a lot of people got vaccinated. As a result of it, world economic started recovery and people's life start reopening rapidly. It was so rapid that the supply and demand balance deteriorated. Commodity price and logistic cost got higher. It brought a sign of cost push inflation. At first, central banks said the inflation is "transitory" but the stances have been changed country by country. Many people think the main theme of market is still inflation this year.
Some people say FRB may rise the bank rate three times in 2022. Others say one time. If omicron variant settle down early and inflation continue, many country may make progress with normalization of the monetary policy.
In 2022, there are many political event like US election and Chinese Communist Party Congress. They may have influence on the market.
Any way, I hope you have a good year.
When you make any investment decision, please do so by using your own judgement and at your own risk.